ugh - they say its going to be a busy season… I prefer the Cone of Silence rather than the Cone of Uncertainty…
Ahh,the cone of silence,what a classic show,ahead of its time
Scary,especially with everything else going on.
These are the same folks who can’t get the weather right for a few hours from now, or tomorrow on a regular basis, let alone next week. You think that they can accurately forecast a whole season?
Imagine getting paid to be wrong most of the time. Where do I sign up?
At this point I think you just need to be on TV and have a twitter account…
Is the NWS/NHC going to predict today that a category 4 storm will make landfall at the Outer Banks on August 20th? Of course not. That’s rediculous. What they can say, based on sea surface temperature, currents and atmospheric data is that the 2020 hurricane season will be very active. They are pretty good at this. The OP’s point is well taken. Those of us who live near the ocean should keep an “eye” on the tropical forecast starting now. Evacuation this year is more complicated too with covid. Be safe everyone.
My daughter lives near San Antonio and has concerns. Her comment was ‘I don’t even know what level of Jumanji I’m on anymore’ lol. I told her it all this builds character.
I remember a episode of Last Man Standing where they had a neighbor who was did weather on TV. At one party Tim Allen mad a comment that her whole job is done with a free phone ap.
Amen to that.
They usually are correct about an active season or not,but where and when they develop,and where they go,no one knows,many develop far out and never go near land.
I think they are better at open water predictions but maybe not so good at pinpointing exact landfall spots and what might happen once they hit land. Yes daily weather patterns are still a challenge. Just thinking since moving back home in 2006, having lost 1 house, had another wiped out 80% and yet a 3rd flooded 3 times, makes me dread this part of the year. All the hype makes it worse IMO. I want to put ear plugs in[:D].
Thanks for making me smile in the midst of all the insanity.
[Y]
I like the old shows the best. Movies too.
The statistics I have seen show much improvement over the decades. The forecast seems to work pretty well for three days according to those statistics. It is just we remember the errors and tend to forget the successes. I remember as a kid the weather forecast was for the next day- period.
Me too. Probably shoudn’t admit this, but I have Hazel playing in a small window on my display desktop right now. (just happens to be what’s playing on one of my favorite oldies antenna tv stations.
[:$]
Never was a favorite, but it’s still better than the comtemporary daytime stuff.
Weather reporters exist, to make stock brokers look better.
Patrick
Maybe on the Atlantic coast that is the norm. On the Pacific coast I have seen too many years of the “El Niño” or ”La Niña” forecasts for seasons of storms come up hollow. The movement of the jet stream or other upper atmosphere wind currents do not coincide with the ocean conditions. Perhaps those are more constant over the Atlantic.
“The best job in the world would be to be a meteorologist in San Diego, California. You have a six-figure income, and you’re on the air for about 30 seconds. ‘What’s the weather gonna be like today, Lou?’…‘Nice. Back to you.’” ~Lewis Black
My late father in law was really good at forecasting our local weather. One winter, they were predicting the largest snowfall in the Memphis area since the sixties for over a week, up to the evening before it was supposed to occur, even promoting the forcast during ads. My father in law called bs on it six days before it didn’t hit, not to be contrary, but he had some observations that he felt mitigated against it. It was a hobby for him, but a lot of folks listened to him rather than the suits.
